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Modelling Inter-urban Migration in an Open Population Setting: The Case of New Zealand

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In this book chapter, BBHTC researchers examine the modelling of gross inter-urban migration flows in Aotearoa New Zealand.

They identify a range of geographic, demographic, economic, and climatic characteristics of urban areas, which are statistically significant determinants of migration. The researchers argue that in a small but open population such as New Zealand (in which one quarter of the resident population is foreign born and one sixth of the New Zealand-born population lives abroad), inter-urban migration should be modelled jointly with rural-urban and international migration. They estimate a modified gravity model of migration in which the flow matrix is augmented with rural-urban and international migration. Migration data are obtained from four successive population censuses since 1996.

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