Four plausible scenarios for transport in New Zealand in 2048

Fitt, Helen; Frame, Bob; Fletcher, Amy; Curl, Angela; Dionisio-McHugh, Rita; Ahuriri-Driscoll, Annabel; Baldwin, Nicholas; Hadfield, Hellie

Abstract – Tuhinga Whakarāpopoto

This research focuses on four scenarios designed to trigger debate about plausible future transport systems. The research used workshops, discussion, and stakeholder consultation to develop four scenarios between two uncertainty axes (automation and consumption). The four scenarios are: Custom Cocoons, Mode Nomads, Amped Autos, and Active Scouts. Fundamentally, it asks what kind of society we want to live in, and whether a given change might help us to get there. Some possibilities include changing social dynamics of communities and care, but there are many important questions that currently remain unexplored.

Other reports associated with this research

Fitt, H., Curl, A., Dionisio-McHugh, R., Fletcher, A., Frame, B., & Ahuriri-Driscoll, A. (2018). Think Piece: Autonomous vehicles and future urban environments: Exploring implications for wellbeing in an ageing society (Second ed.). Christchurch: BBHTC.

Curl, A., Fitt, H., Dionisio-McHugh, R., Ahuriri-Driscoll, A., Fletcher, A., & Slaughter, H. (2018). Autonomous vehicles and future urban environments: Exploring changing travel behaviours, built environments, and implications for wellbeing in an ageing society. Christchurch: BBHTC.

Fletcher, A., Fitt, H., Baldwin, N., Hadfield, H., & Curl, A. (2018). Initial scan of policy / issues relevant to autonomous vehicle development and deployment. Christchurch: BBHTC.

Keywords – Kupu Hāngai

Automation, urban transportation, Shared Autonomous Vehicles, Autonomous Vehicles, transport, cars, future transport, commuting

Fields of Research – Āpure Rangahau

Transport; Urban/Spatial Planning; Infrastructure

Date – Te Wā Whakarewa

2018-01

Type – Te Auaha

Report

Collections – Kohinga Kaupapa

• Te Tai Tokerau / Northern Aoteoroa New Zealand
• Tāmaki Makaurau / Auckland
• Hauraki-Waikato / North Western North Island
• Waiariki (Tauranga, Whakatāne, Rotorua, Taupo)
• Te Tai Hauāuru / Western North Island
• Ikaroa-Rawhiti / East Coast and Pōneke / Wellington
• Te Waipounamu / South Island
• Ngā Kāinga Ora / Urban Wellbeing
• Ngā Momo Waka / Transport
• Whare Hoahoa / Urban Design

Citation – Kupu Hautoa

Fitt, H., Frame, B., Fletcher, A., Curl, A., Dionisio-McHugh, R., Ahuriri-Driscoll, A., Baldwin, N. & Hadfield, H. (2018). Four plausible scenarios for transport in New Zealand in 2048. Christchurch: BBHTC.