Builds and Housing Prices: A case study of the impacts of special housing areas and accords in Selwyn District

Dr Michael Rehm
Senior Lecturer, Department of Property
University of Auckland Business School
m.rehm@auckland.ac.nz

Dr William K.S. Cheung
Senior Lecturer, University of Auckland
william.cheung@auckland.ac.nz

Dr Kay Saville-Smith
Director, CRESA
kay@cresa.co.nz

Abstract – Tuhinga Whakarāpopoto

In 2016, central government signed a Housing Accord with the Selwyn District Council establishing two Special Housing Areas (SHAs) near Rolleston – Faringdon South 1 (42 hectares) and a SHA made up of the Dryden Trust and Dean Geddes Blocks (72 hectares).

The Accord required that 10 percent of new dwellings built in the SHAs would be sold at no more than 75 percent of the median house price in Rolleston township. The Dryden Trust and Dean Geddes SHA was expected to deliver around 840 dwellings. Faringdon South 1 was expected to deliver in excess of 511 dwellings.

This study into the Rolleston SHAs presents descriptive statistics and hedonic pricing results. The data relate to Rolleston’s five Statistical Area 2 units with SHA and non-SHA areas. Data include and are presented on sale price, land area, floor area, number of bedrooms and bathrooms for each dwelling sold, characteristics of the lots, and building typology. Time dummies reflected known market conditions during the timeframe. Meshblock dummies were effective in controlling for variations in socioeconomic characteristics and access to amenities such as parks and schools.

Despite an intention to encourage rapid private developer delivery of new builds, after six years only 27 percent of expected dwellings were delivered. Similarly, while there was an expectation that the SHAs would provide lower costs and more affordability through delivery of multi-units, the 36 sales for multi-units all lay outside the SHA boundaries.

There was minor and limited price suppression in the SHA areas. Some dwellings were built at the 75 percent of median price, but the numbers were small and less than the expected numbers indicated in the Housing Accord. This is the first study to compare non-SHA and SHA builds under a Housing Accord for an entire settlement but the findings are consistent with previous research on the impacts of SHAs.

Other reports associated with this research

James, B. (2019). Developers’ decision-making: a case study of development in Special Housing Areas. Report for Building Better Homes, Towns and Cities: Homes and Spaces for Generations. October 2019, 28pgs. Wellington: BBHTC.

James, B. (2017). Getting the housing we say we want: Learning from the Special Housing Area experience in Tauranga and the Western Bay of Plenty. Paper 1 – National Policy and Initial Local Implementation. Report for Building Better Homes, Towns and Cities SRA: The Architecture of Decision-Making, Life as Lived Component. December 2017. Wellington: BBHTC.

James, B. (2018). Spaces in contention in the Western Bay of Plenty sub-region: Special Housing Areas and public consultation. 55pgs. Report for Building Better Homes, Towns and Cities SRA: The Architecture of Decision-Making, Life as Lived Component. August 2018. Wellington: BBHTC

James, B. (2018). Special Housing Areas: A practical pathway to livable homes?. In E. Tracada and G. Cairns (Eds.), Cities, communities and homes: Is the urban future livable? (pp. 171-180). Architecture MPS Proceedings Series 10, University of Derby, 22-23 June, 2017.

Murphy, L. (2017). Housing affordability, urban planning and Auckland’s special housing areas. In: Howden-Chapman P., L Early & J. Ombler (eds.) Cities in New Zealand: Preferences, patterns and possibilities (pp. 67-78). Wellington: Steele Roberts Aotearoa.

Murphy, L. (2019). Financiers and developers: Interviews concerning their interests, relationships, and the residential development process. Report for Building Better Homes, Towns and Cities SRA: The Architecture of Decision-Making. March 2019. Wellington: BBHTC.

Saville-Smith, K. (Ed.). (2019). Revitalising the Production of Affordable Housing for Productive, Engaged & Healthy Lives: Integrated Report. Report for Building Better Homes, Towns and Cities: Homes and Spaces for Generations. November 2019, 109pgs. Wellington: BBHTC.

Keywords – Kupu Hāngai

Housing, Special Housing Areas, SHAs, Housing Accords, affordable housing, price points, housing policy, planning, land release

Fields of Research – Āpure Rangahau

Economics, Housing, Urban and Regional Planning

 

Date – Te Wā Whakarewa

2023-05

 

Type – Te Auaha

Report

Citation – Kupu Hautoa

Rehm, M., Cheung, W., and K. Saville-Smith (2023), Builds and Housing Prices: A case study of the impacts of special housing areas and accords in Selwyn District, Report for Building Better Homes, Towns and Cities National Science Challenge, Affordable Housing for Generations, May 2023, Wellington: AFHG, BBHTC.